Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.046988 0.051079 0.055220 0.059718 0.064459 0.069301 0.074613
2025-07-06 0.041927 0.047996 0.054346 0.061461 0.069185 0.077291 0.086419
2025-07-13 0.036552 0.043895 0.051817 0.060938 0.071096 0.082006 0.094553
2025-07-20 0.032687 0.041005 0.050224 0.061099 0.073475 0.087025 0.102885
2025-07-27 0.029988 0.039131 0.049513 0.062020 0.076521 0.092655 0.111816
2025-08-03 0.028043 0.037925 0.049396 0.063469 0.080051 0.098757 0.121243
2025-08-10 0.024490 0.034511 0.046435 0.061369 0.079276 0.099780 0.124749
2025-08-17 0.022182 0.032444 0.044928 0.060846 0.080226 0.102696 0.130360
2025-08-24 0.020124 0.030537 0.043480 0.060270 0.081006 0.105334 0.135587
2025-08-31 0.019328 0.030194 0.043931 0.061990 0.084536 0.111224 0.144660
2025-09-07 0.018367 0.029558 0.043949 0.063120 0.087314 0.116199 0.152653
2025-09-14 0.017328 0.028742 0.043675 0.063832 0.089538 0.120490 0.159827
2025-09-21 0.016074 0.027580 0.042926 0.063940 0.091048 0.123983 0.166154
2025-09-28 0.015576 0.027455 0.043538 0.065809 0.094790 0.130243 0.175897
2025-10-05 0.014260 0.026064 0.042370 0.065283 0.095442 0.132666 0.180947
2025-10-12 0.013293 0.025123 0.041765 0.065461 0.096967 0.136157 0.187312
2025-10-19 0.012664 0.024646 0.041771 0.066432 0.099504 0.140912 0.195249
2025-10-26 0.012253 0.024475 0.042190 0.067953 0.102760 0.146587 0.204357
2025-11-02 0.010767 0.022513 0.039957 0.065754 0.101045 0.145903 0.205479
2025-11-09 0.009871 0.021434 0.038950 0.065206 0.101484 0.147939 0.209998
2025-11-16 0.009029 0.020385 0.037936 0.064603 0.101812 0.149807 0.214292
2025-11-23 0.008857 0.020463 0.038612 0.066406 0.105406 0.155921 0.224015
2025-11-30 0.008542 0.020270 0.038863 0.067590 0.108159 0.160952 0.232378